USD/JPY: Dips below 154 have been short lived
This is a quick and simple setup based around the assumption that support will continue to hold for USD/JPY.
The market found support at a high-volume node (HVN) last week. And each time the market has either tested or traded beneath the 154 handle, it has been accompanied by heavier volumes and a subsequent move higher. This suggests bears have been burned trying to short at the cycle lows and then forced to capitulate.
Given we're in the Asian session with no top-tier calendar events, and for now at least Trump's tariff headlines are in the rear-view mirror, we're looking for another bounce from / false break of the 154 handle.
As this is simply a mean-reversion setup, we're not looking for a home run.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
The market found support at a high-volume node (HVN) last week. And each time the market has either tested or traded beneath the 154 handle, it has been accompanied by heavier volumes and a subsequent move higher. This suggests bears have been burned trying to short at the cycle lows and then forced to capitulate.
Given we're in the Asian session with no top-tier calendar events, and for now at least Trump's tariff headlines are in the rear-view mirror, we're looking for another bounce from / false break of the 154 handle.
As this is simply a mean-reversion setup, we're not looking for a home run.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Trading ditutup: stop tercapai
Strong wages data from Japan has boosted bets of another BOJ hike, sending USD/JPY further below 154 than we'd have liked.
Not ideal, but least it was quick.
MS
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