The recent rally in USD/CHF seems to have stalled ahead of the 2024 high (0.9225) as it halts a four-day rally.
USD/CHF Rate Outlook
USD/CHF falls back from the weekly high (0.9138) to pull the Relative Strength Index (RSI) back from overbought territory, and the move below 70 in the oscillator may accompany a further decline in the exchange rate like the price action from last year.
Failure to extend the recent series of higher highs and lows may push USD/CHF back towards the 0.9230 (38.2% Fibonacci extension) to 0.9240 (23.6% Fibonacci extension) region, with the next area of interest coming in around 0.8880 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement) to 0.8910 (38.2% Fibonacci extension).
Nevertheless, USD/CHF may track the positive slope in the 50-Day SMA (0.8850) as it holds above the moving average but need a breach above 0.9180 (23.6% Fibonacci extension) to bring the 2024 high (0.9225) on the radar.
--- Written by David Song, Senior Strategist at FOREX.com
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