USD/CAD Technical Analysis, WTI CAD Fundamental Overview

USDCAD has reached a 1 year high @1.2965. Breaking through the 1.2960 resistance could lead USDCAD to push towards 1.3020.

Canada Core Retail Sales came out under expectations (1.3% vs 1.6%), reinforcing with fundamentals the technical analysis.

Omicron is now the dominant COVID strain in US, with new cases soaring in Canada as well. Tighter measures have been put in place on Monday, as Quebec shuts down schools, bars, gyms.

WTI price is still under pressure despite the recent rebound, likely a reaction to the new wave of omicron virus is hitting US and Europe, with the new restrictions from countries (still not in place in certain large markets, but are being studied) may reduce the demand of WTI and put heavy pressure on its price.

CAD is one of the major commodity currencies which is highly correlated with WTI’s price, so lower price on WTI will push USDCAD trend to go higher as weaker CAD is expected.

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