CPI forecast

15 Jan

The CPI represents changes in prices of all goods and services purchased for consumption by urban households. User fees (such as water and sewer service) and sales and excise taxes paid by the consumer are also included. Income taxes and investment items (like stocks, bonds, and life insurance) are not included. Prices for the goods and services used to calculate the CPI are collected in 75 urban areas throughout the country and from about 23,000 retail and service establishments. Data on rents are collected from about 50,000 landlords or tenants.
The weight for an item is derived from reported expenditures on that item as estimated by the Consumer Expenditure Survey.

The stochastic indicator is pointing to an increase in inflation over the next few months. However, that doesn't necessarily predict an immediate increase in inflation this month.

15 Jan

Catatan

CPI (YoY) (Dec) actual: 2.9% forecast: 2.9% previous: 2.7%
CPI (MoM) (Dec) actual: 0.4% forecast: 0.4% previous: 0.3%

16 Jan

Catatan

Comparison chart: CPI vs 801.4% cumulative rate of inflation 1968 - 2025.