US10Y

U.S. 10-Year Bond Analysis – Short-Term Dip, Long-Term Rise

Trump's tariff strategy isn't just about trade; it's also a tool to pressure the Fed into lowering interest rates. He frequently emphasizes the need for lower rates, aiming to weaken the dollar and stimulate economic growth.

In the short term, this pressure could push bond yields lower. However, in the bigger picture, other macroeconomic forces suggest a longer-term uptrend.

For now, I see a temporary bearish move with two possible scenarios:

Plan A (More Likely): A drop confirmed by breaking 4.59, targeting 4.41, followed by a rebound towards 4.86 and 4.94.

Plan B: A corrective dip from around 4.71.


Despite short-term weakness, the broader trend remains bullish.

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