US 3M yield
Penjualan

Yield curve inversion=>Projecting a recession in 3-5 quarters

106
1. MACD cross=> any rate drop in the FED rate may help boost stocks in the short-term, but it will further decrease the yields on 5-10 years
2. Empirical research: 3 month to 5/10 year yield Inversion is quite a successful binary predictor for recessions occurring 3-5 quarters in the future.
3. Initial inversion occurred March 2019 on the 3 month to 5(orange line) year T.Bonds yields=> Increasing the probability of a recession for Q1 2020-Q3 2020.

Pernyataan Penyangkalan

Informasi dan publikasi ini tidak dimaksudkan, dan bukan merupakan, saran atau rekomendasi keuangan, investasi, trading, atau jenis lainnya yang diberikan atau didukung oleh TradingView. Baca selengkapnya di Ketentuan Penggunaan.