UltraTech Cement Ltd Technical Analysis

13 Des

### **UltraTech Cement Ltd Technical Analysis**

#### **Key Chart Observations**:
1. **Resistance Breakout Zone**:
- The stock is approaching a **critical resistance level** near ₹12,080.
- A breakout above this level with strong volume could signal a bullish continuation.

2. **Trendline Analysis**:
- The stock has already broken a long-term **downward sloping trendline**, indicating a potential reversal to the upside.
- The angle and historical significance of this trendline suggest a change in sentiment.

3. **Moving Average Support**:
- The stock is trading above its **moving average**, which now acts as a support, reinforcing the bullish bias.

4. **Potential Upside Targets**:
- **First Target:** ₹12,400 (recent swing high).
- **Second Target:** ₹12,800 (psychological resistance).
- **Longer-term Target:** ₹13,200 (based on Fibonacci or historical resistance zones).

5. **Volume Confirmation**:
- Watch for **higher-than-average volume** during the breakout to confirm sustained momentum.

6. **Risk Management**:
- Set a **stop-loss** below the broken resistance (around ₹11,950) to manage downside risk if the breakout fails.

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### **Trading Strategy**:
#### **Bullish Scenario**:
- Enter long if the stock closes above ₹12,080 with good volume.
- Targets: ₹12,400 and ₹12,800.
- Stop-loss: ₹11,950.

#### **Bearish Scenario**:
- If the stock fails to sustain above ₹12,080 and falls below ₹11,950, it may revisit ₹11,600 or lower.

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### **Key Technical Indicators**:
1. **RSI (Relative Strength Index):**
- Monitor RSI for overbought levels (>70). If RSI supports the breakout, the move is likely to sustain.

2. **MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):**
- A bullish crossover near the breakout zone will provide additional confirmation.

3. **Volume Profile**:
- Significant volume buildup near ₹12,080 would indicate strong buyer interest.

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### **Conclusion**:
UltraTech Cement Ltd is at a **critical breakout level**. Traders should watch for confirmation above ₹12,080 to initiate long positions, targeting higher levels. Volume and market sentiment will play a pivotal role in determining the strength of the breakout.