This feels very plausible, if this happens it's probably the entire space getting regulated similar to what happened to the internet after the dotcom bubble finally reached a melt up point. Prepare for the madness. If this happens bitcoin will not become the new gold standard but instead CBDCs will enslave the world. SDR took over back on August 15, 1971, when President Richard Nixon announced that the United States would no longer convert dollars to gold at a fixed value, thus completely abandoning the gold standard.
Blockchain projects like Ripple Labs and Algorand would become a part of ISO20022 to digitize existing ISO 4217 (XDR) Special Drawing Rights.
"The XDR comes to prominence when the U.S. dollar is weak or otherwise unsuitable to be a foreign exchange reserve asset. This usually manifests itself as an allocation of XDRs to IMF member countries. Distrust of the U.S. dollar is not the only stated reason allocations have been made, however. One of its first roles was to alleviate an expected shortfall of U.S. dollars c. 1970"
Under this scenario: Dogecoin (equivalent to Pets dotcom back in the days), Ethereum (equivalent to Netscape back in the days). Would literally die after 2024.
It's a complete Altcoin flushout and altcoin apocalypse for many.
The new digital Gold, or Bitcoin, would also tank until equivalent to 2003 and would eventually hit new all time high which could be anywhere between 90k to 130k (keep in mind that Gold has only hit 66k per kilogram, so maybe peak is already in for Bitcoin unless Gold hits a new all time historic high). Overtime, Bitcoin and Gold could move together. To think Bitcoin will hit a million dollars under this narrative is not and wouldn't be realistic at all, unless there is hyperinflation in the US amidst a total dollar collapse, something that isn't plausible either, it can maybe hit a 60% low in a few years as other countries in G7 are integrated as global reserves next to the dollar.
This is my honest opinion. The most unpredictable scenario is perhaps the most likely one, and I think this is it. Very concerned about the future of decentralization and what crypto meant. Satoshi would be very disappointed.
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