TAL Education Group
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Diupdate

TAL: Continued bearish thesis, downward parallel channel

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In August, TAL formed head and shoulders, which I thought should result in a breakout upwards. But that has failed.
In September, TAL dropped to fib 61.8 level, and support at 200EMA. At that time, the thesis has turned bearish.

TAL at Fibonacci 61.8 key support level but above 200EMA


As of today in October, short thesis has remained true.
  • As expected, TAL dropped further below $25
  • Inverse head and shoulders cause breakout downwards
  • Moving in a downward channel
  • Expect to continue movement downward within the channel, unless breakout of (1) 20EMA resistance level; and (2) upward boundary of resistance of downward channel.



cuplikan
Catatan
An attempt to break out the downward channel.
cuplikan
Trading ditutup: stop tercapai
Breakout from the channel resistance. Reversal trend.

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