Short SPY

4 Sep 2017

Various risk events and geopolitical-uncertainty. Time to load up with more haven assets to hedge for the medium term.Long volatility.
Testing potential new resistance with two bearish pins seen.

24 Sep 2017

Catatan

Really perplexed as markets continue to soar in the face of potential headwinds. Systemetic risks continue to be something to be considered seriously with concerns of the US markets being overvalued, abnormally low volatility at times of rising geopolitical tensions and natural disasters that should normally cause the markets to stumble a little, stubbornly low inflation although unemployment at lows, tapering of the Fed balance sheet and rate hikes. I continue to maintain my belief that we would likely see a market correction in the short to medium term.
Long Term Investment
Continue to be bullish long term on emerging market assets particularly in Asia as China continues to show massive determination for structural reform, facilitating integration of emerging economies into global economy of free trade via infrastructure investments with its ambitious BRI that is likely to bring many economic opportunities to the developing nations and its economy continues to show resilience in spite of headwinds like deleveraging.
Consumer confidence and spending rising.
Despite credit ratings downgrade, i continue to have confidence in the Chinese government as they continue to show will to fight debt issues.
We also have much potential to be unleashed in the SEA nations.

26 Des 2018

Catatan

US-China trade war has broken out and China has been bearing the brunt of it with an economic slowdown imminent according to the experts. This reminds me of the doom that the experts were talking about in 2015-2016 and all the fear and pessimism about an incoming slowdown when the rout wiped off almost 50% of the Chinese stock market. Little did we expect it to rally close to 35% after the bottom in 2016. I believe this is a total mirror image of the circumstances then and it is up to you whether to panic and sell or seize the opportunity. Now this again reminds me of a quote by the legend Mr Warren Buffett "Be fearful when others are greedy, be greedy when others are fearful."