US Market Sentiment - Risk Model
The Ukraine war, ongoing lockdowns in China and associated disruption of global supply chains as well as upcoming inflation are key reasons for the high risk in the current market.
Swing-Traders should act with highest caution and be mostly in cash for quite some time now.
All technical indicators in our risk model are showing high risk, the overall risk rating is very high.
At one point, we will reach the bottom of this significant market correction. It is worthwhile looking at some of the contrarian market indicators:
- bulls vs bears: the current market sentiment is very bearish, with the bears at 43% and the bulls at 28%. We have seen the biggest opportunities in markets which have been characterized like that.
- Margin debt turned negative. We have seen that for the last time in 2020 during the Covid-correction.
Swing-Traders should never trade using these contrarian indicator only but it is worthwhile continuing to look for stock setups and low risk entry points. Either start with paper trading or open a few very small pilot trades. Once you see soe traction in your open trades, you see the risk model improving again and you see the number of stock setups increasing - then it is time to increase risk and exposure.
Until that happens, risk needs to be managed very tightly, stay disciplined!
Our updated watchlist shows only a very few stocks which could be tradable at the moment:
tradingview.com/watchlists/75013711/
All stocks on our watchlist meet the criteria of Minervini's Trend Template.
Swing-Traders should act with highest caution and be mostly in cash for quite some time now.
All technical indicators in our risk model are showing high risk, the overall risk rating is very high.
At one point, we will reach the bottom of this significant market correction. It is worthwhile looking at some of the contrarian market indicators:
- bulls vs bears: the current market sentiment is very bearish, with the bears at 43% and the bulls at 28%. We have seen the biggest opportunities in markets which have been characterized like that.
- Margin debt turned negative. We have seen that for the last time in 2020 during the Covid-correction.
Swing-Traders should never trade using these contrarian indicator only but it is worthwhile continuing to look for stock setups and low risk entry points. Either start with paper trading or open a few very small pilot trades. Once you see soe traction in your open trades, you see the risk model improving again and you see the number of stock setups increasing - then it is time to increase risk and exposure.
Until that happens, risk needs to be managed very tightly, stay disciplined!
Our updated watchlist shows only a very few stocks which could be tradable at the moment:
tradingview.com/watchlists/75013711/
All stocks on our watchlist meet the criteria of Minervini's Trend Template.
Combing the BEST of two WORLD's: Cathie Wood & Mark Minervini
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