Two bearish harmonic patterns on SPY

28 Sep 2018

I've been watching these couple patterns since DJI crossed above the PRZ of the bearish Gartley I'd been watching for months(so about a month). So far, they seem to be helping to weigh the price down. The most obvious targets based on the patterns outlined with yellow horizontal lines, and the green rectangle being the zone that I start considering buying and/or entering long positions.

9 Okt 2018

Catatan

Although it's nice to see bearish momentum so shortly after posting the bearish chart, I'm not fully convinced that was the top just yet. When I posted it, I was expecting it to top off a little bit above 295 rather than a couple bucks below. As long as 287 holds, I'm neutral in the short-term. Bearish enough if in the medium-term that I'd feel comfortable shorting below the top yellow line though.

10 Okt 2018

Catatan

Needless to say, I've gone full bear now in the medium-term. I wouldn't doubt a bounce to 285.65 or so but I expect a A LOT of selling pressure from people that got in above that level if it gets there again.

12 Jan 2019

Catatan

Still bearish on all American indices, extra bearish here. One reason pictured below. Just very obvious horizontal resistance on the sum of the indices. Then of course there's Trumps incompetence, the shutdown, etc.

12 Jan 2019

Catatan

Correction... That chart was the sum of the indices minus the price of bitcoin(which leaves a lot of room for bitcoin to rise before that chart hits the horizontal support). The chart for the sum of the indices, disregarding bitcoin, is in a quite similar position resistance-wise though. Here's a short-term chart for SPY while I'm at it too. Bearish bat pattern just barely not invalidated yesterday.

And the chart I meant to post in the previous comment

28 Mar 2019

Catatan

Obviously the dead cat bounce had more power than I was hoping, but in my YouTube video I did explain in more detail that if the bearish bat didn't stop it, it was likely to do what it did.

Aside from the short-term bearish gartley on SPX that has already proved it's significance, there's the this chart that shows it's potentially topped perfectly at the .786, already overbought above where I had been pointing out bearish divergence on twitter.

Then there's my "Sum of the American Indices divided by the price of bitcoin" chart too... broke down from a falling wedge recently. (see related ideas)

4 Apr 2019

Catatan

Thanks to the "news" that AG Barr's summary of a summary is meaningless, I'm extra confident. More bearish than ever before at this point.