My last trade has been a swing long position in the S&P500. The analysis tells me that we might see a rally to at least 214.08 or maybe even 214.90 in the SPY within the coming days. I will monitor price action around the key fundamental events this month, but I know before hand that if I'm not stopped out, I'll look to exit this swing long in the target zone I mentioned, and also look to exit other equity longs.
Check out related ideas to learn more about the Vix 75% retracement smart money support level. This also matches a FOMC key level as well as the current daily mode support, so odds of price moving up after hitting this are considerably high, and align with the weekly signals on chart.
The rgmov indicator spells caution though, since it has recently plotted a new 44 bar low in the daily, alerting of danger of a downtrend. Currently it's moving up, showing strength of the bulls, and it has hit a 50% speed line support, so we should be safe on the long side for now.
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Cheers!
Ivan Labrie
Link to Tim West's chatroom: tradingview.com/chat/ We discuss setups like this often there. Feel free to stop by and subscribe to his indicator pack. If you have any questions ask.
Risk disclaimer: My analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance0.57% on such information.
Catatan
The market is waiting for news, like Tim said...Support levels haven't held, but it wouldn't surprise me if we see a move back above the mode here. For now, I'm flat SPY.
Catatan
Today's close is quite negative for SPY. After today's news, we still have to wait for the UK referendum to get all potential 'doubts' the market participants might have. A move back above 209.52 would warrant a resumption of the weekly uptrend. For now it's unclear.
Catatan
We almost hit weekly support and today's candle is considerably bullish. It'll be interesting to see if we do hit the weekly uptrend target before the time runs out. Timer has until August 1st.
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