Our analysis of Porsche Automobil Holding focuses on the stock's price movement since the lows during the COVID-19 crisis at 28.48 EUR. Since then, Wave (1) in blue has expanded to 102 EUR, currently serving as a local high. Subsequently, a remarkably unusual and complex Wave (2) has been observed, which appears atypical at first glance. Upon closer examination, this phase is identified as a flat correction, which falls just above the 78% level, slightly insufficient for a regular flat. In Elliott Wave analysis, as well as in other analyses, it is sometimes necessary to stretch certain rules to reach a conclusion. Whether this is invalid or not is difficult to say at this point.
Currently, the stock suggests that Wave C in red has not yet been fully completed, as the extension of Wave (iii), as expected, took a corrective trend reversal at 41.48 EUR. If this is the case, we are currently witnessing the formation of Wave (iv), with the stock possibly falling one last time with Wave (v) before finally bidding farewell to the overarching Wave (2). The exact timing for this remains open and uncertain. However, as long as Wave 1 does not become invalid, a downward trend is expected for Porsche stock. Potential significant entry points for us could lie in a retest of the Wave (iii) area at 41.90 EUR or even lower. The exact coordinates are yet to be determined, but until then, we anticipate a declining price for Porsche stock.
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