NZD/USD Holds Steady: Market Awaits Key CPI Data

13 Nov

The NZD/USD currency pair is exhibiting a flat performance, lingering around 0.5985 during the London session on Wednesday. Traders are biding their time ahead of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) release for October and comments from the Federal Reserve officials later in the day.

From a technical standpoint, the current price level is nearing a key area of interest for potential long positions, as it aligns with a demand zone highlighted in our analysis and the Commitment of Traders (COT) report. Furthermore, the market is influenced by expectations surrounding inflationary tariffs proposed by Republican President-elect Donald Trump, which could elevate prices and potentially limit the Federal Reserve's ability to implement interest rate cuts. As a result, the US dollar is experiencing a stronger performance overall.

Attention is now shifting to the upcoming CPI inflation report, particularly the core gauge, which is expected to show a month-on-month increase of 0.3% for October. Any indications of rising inflation could diminish the likelihood of a rate cut in December, thereby boosting the Greenback further. Conversely, a weaker-than-expected report could encourage traders to increase their expectations for a reduction in rates from the Federal Reserve.

With these factors in mind, I am looking to position for a long trade with a limit order, capitalizing on the potential upward movement as market conditions unfold.

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