NQ Long (10-30-23)
Monday's are Long and O/N has Propped the NAZ back up for the lift/drop offset to start the week. The playbook has not changed. the NAZ is back to Friday high with ease, Gap fil below (blue box) and FA's (orange zones) above and below. Look for Mid O/N retest KL 14338 and KLOD is 14331. Long above KLOD and short below. Play targets above KLOD and below after Open Range (1st 30M). Today is day 13 of drop from October high (8.5% drop and 10% drop from September High), looking for technical bounce and typical Monday BTD/FOMO strategy #1 & only. Will update on Teams.
Catatan
Drop/Pop off Mid O/N, KLOD, FA or Gap Fill. Take your pick and watch the NAZ rotate the KLOD and then rally higher near Dead Zone, let it run and do not Short this. Friday under 200MA just kept retesting, does not want to be under and they will do all they can to lift the NAZ away from the Danger Zone (below 200MA). Catatan
Yellow Box is the idea, next 2 days or so. Back to bottom of Channel for next Short.Catatan
No Limit Down O/N and closing on 2 years, just not going to happen and O/N is consistently offsetting and near danger zone PA. Short covering, BTD and FOMO's will most likely move it higher.Catatan
War Chatter and 10YN is dropping, may be reason for the O/N Prop Job and if so, the Long is GONE. Yellow arrow in daily forecast is Range for break out.Catatan
Red Lines are divergence, expect a drop.Catatan
Hook Short / drop test on the way. Going Private, may be a 2-way day for 1st hour or of Open.Catatan
Note: Whipsaw Shakeout PA has been persistent past 2 months. Pump/Dump (why not), then BTD/FOMO Dead Zone lift. Full day of typical plays and the drop near close and then rally in O/N. Funny but this has been the pattern. Since Wednesdays O/N the NAZ has basically been in the range of 14390-290. This may be consolidation for move lower should the forecast be off, FYI.Catatan
1st upper FA Gone.Catatan
at 465, 420-520 is range hereCatatan
Long above 420 for 2nd 480 retest.Catatan
480 pass is 520Catatan
Above 200 MA today, may see NAZ rally mid day.Catatan
Strange but NAZ is more likely to Snap to the upside today. Will check in later.Catatan
KLOD has held for multiple hitsCatatan
Rejected at Mid O/RCatatan
No Gap fil or MA 200 retest, may see that if no pass at 14405Catatan
Divergence and SZ's below, may see slight drop.Catatan
Circles are 4 Longs from the KLOD on Hold. Still Scalp PA, no trend break outs just Chop.Catatan
405 no hold retest may go back to KLODCatatan
On short wait for pop Spike with Stoch O/SCatatan
Spike and Stoch for Scalp ShortCatatan
405-51 is rangeCatatan
458 break is 480Catatan
480 rejected to 405Catatan
KLOD #5 Long Scalp in O/N. Old SZ's got taken out on O/N drop.Trading ditutup: target tercapai
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