Nifty: Are you with the trend or against the trend???

6 Jul 2021

Nifty
CMP 15853

Observations
- Nifty traded in down trend channel since Feb 2021 till April 2021
- Currently Nifty is trading in Uptrend channel

Now that we have identified the trend, let us look and analyze Futures & Options data for 05 July 2021 and understand how each market participant viz
- the Retail traders,
- FIIs and
- Proprietary traders
have positioned themselves.

Futures Data:
- Retail traders bought 1086 Long contracts & exited from 8397 Short contracts
- FIIs bought 3487 Long contracts and added 4663 Short Contracts
- Proprietary traders booked profits in 1314 Long contracts and added 5060 Short Contracts

Call option data:
- Retail traders added 29.56 K Long Call Contracts and added 69.42K Short Call Contracts
- FIIs added 18.95K Long Call contracts and added 13.34 K Short Call Contracts
- Proprietary traders added 80.38 K Call Long contracts and added 46.13 K Call Short Contracts

Put Option data
- Retail traders bought 3.16 Lakhs Put Long Contracts and added 2.64 Lakh Put Short Contracts
- FIIs added 5.98 K Put Long Contracts and Shorted 21.77 K Put Contracts
- Proprietary traders bought 83.08 K Put Long and Shorted 1.18 Lakh Put Contracts

Retail traders have exited from Futures Short position but still have a negative bias and have positioned in Options against the trend for a fall in Nifty

FIIs and Proprietary traders on the other hand are less active in Futures but in Options have positioned themselves with the trend for more upside to neutral play

Plan your trade accordingly...!!!
Trust, you would find this analysis helpful. If yes then

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If you have been following me, our strategy is already in place.

Strategy update
Suggested selling 15 July expiry
15700 Put option around 120
CMP 42

Profit of 78 points so far per lot.

Take care & safe trading


Disclaimer:
- The view expressed here is my personal view
- Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions
- Use this for educational purpose
- Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be

14 Jul 2021

Trading ditutup: target tercapai

Nifty Strategy update
CMP 15809

You might be wondering that Nifty is still below 15833 then how come I have said target reached...?

Well the answer is simple, it is for the strategy that we had.

Nifty 15700 Put option
Suggested selling around 120

CMP 18.8
Despite the Nifty swings, our strategy was always in control. and now we have more than 100 points for the taking..

Happy to book the profits...🙂

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