NIFTY Positional and Sentiment View for DEC 20 2021
Diupdate
Positional View for Dec 20 2021 December Future
NIFTY Current Position is Short sold on December 17 at 17294 Action for 20 December continue short and reverse to long if NIFTY closes above 17107.68
Refer to Weekly levels for trading as in related idea.
Sentiment :
drive.google.com/file/d/1EZ8AUE5FfVoEsRBE_bylvg5PDM9da69P/view?usp=sharing
Methodology to get Swing number for positional :
Take NIFTY close price of last 10 days and identify the Polynomial equation.
Yt = B0 + B1t + B2t^2 + Ut (2nd Degree Polynomial example).
if B1 > 0 and B2 >0 Increasing
if B1 >0 and B2<0 Inverted U Shape
if B1<0 and B2<0 Decreasing
if B1 < 0 and B2 > 0 U shape Data
I pro grammatically find the value of NIFTY that changes B1 and B2 to change the shape.
The degree of polynomial needs to change to 5 or 6 for accuracy , Historical validation ,customized volatility and standard deviation , Fibonacci ratios are things i use on top of this.
NIFTY Current Position is Short sold on December 17 at 17294 Action for 20 December continue short and reverse to long if NIFTY closes above 17107.68
Refer to Weekly levels for trading as in related idea.
Sentiment :
drive.google.com/file/d/1EZ8AUE5FfVoEsRBE_bylvg5PDM9da69P/view?usp=sharing
Methodology to get Swing number for positional :
Take NIFTY close price of last 10 days and identify the Polynomial equation.
Yt = B0 + B1t + B2t^2 + Ut (2nd Degree Polynomial example).
if B1 > 0 and B2 >0 Increasing
if B1 >0 and B2<0 Inverted U Shape
if B1<0 and B2<0 Decreasing
if B1 < 0 and B2 > 0 U shape Data
I pro grammatically find the value of NIFTY that changes B1 and B2 to change the shape.
The degree of polynomial needs to change to 5 or 6 for accuracy , Historical validation ,customized volatility and standard deviation , Fibonacci ratios are things i use on top of this.
Catatan
NIFTY23DEC17000CEBuy Above: 129.91
Open Price: 117.85
Buy Targets: 149.77 169.51 185.47 201.43 224.14 237.94 285.00 336.66
Sell Below: 105.79
Sell Targets are: 85.93 66.19 50.23 34.27 11.56
NIFTY23DEC17000PE
Buy Above: 230.49
Open Price: 201.50
Buy Targets: 278.21 325.67 364.02 402.38 456.99 490.14 603.26 727.43
Sell Below: 172.51
Sell Targets are: 124.79 77.33 38.98 0.62
Catatan
The Sentiment is working in inverse (mirror image)Catatan
Miserably failed sentiment ..!
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