Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for May 16th:
The global market is indicating a bullish sentiment based on the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment suggests a moderately bullish trend. It might open with a gap-up start, as suggested by GiftNifty, showing an increase of +120 points.
Nifty minorly retraced after the gap-up start in the previous trading session. Structurally, we have two options. The first one is the GiftNifty indication of a gap-up start, so if the gap-up sustains and breaks the level of 22337, we can expect further rally continuation. In this scenario, if it forms a solid green candle structure, then we can expect a sharp rally followed by a range breakout. Otherwise, it may go into a diagonal pattern structure (consolidation pattern).
Alternatively, if the market rejects around the immediate resistance level, initially we can expect a 23 to 38% minor retracement. If it finds support there, it may undergo some consolidation for rally continuation. This means if it doesn’t break the minor Fibonacci level of 38%, then the market will maintain the bullish bias.
on the other hand if it breaks the minor Fibonacci level of 38%. then we can expect a minimum correction of 78% to the next level of 1.27%. Structurally, it could be in a flat variation. After that correction, if the market finds support at the 1.27 extension level, then it may turn into a bullish bias.
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