Big Short on NATGAS Am I Crazy?

9 Okt 2023

Gooood morning guys,

As always I keep things brief and simple

Short on NATURALGAS actual price 3.50$
FIRST TARGET --> 3.00$
SECOND TARGET --> 2.75$



Why?
- Stocks are full in Europe
- Seasonality, Autumun season boosts in the beginning of October stabilizes till mid of it and crashes in the end of the month. I'm just following the cycle.

What could go wrong?
- Israel events happened and we still have to see the effects with other exporters arab countries I don't think that something is going to happen as the '73 crisis (I don't have a sphere to predict the future)
- The stocks are not full in the US
- Thyphoons in the US
- Unexpected decrease in temperature
- Seasonality not respected and sudden big speculation on the price of NATGAS



With that being said I just share my opinion here and I repeat don't have a magic sphere nor I'm god so future is always unpredictable I just adapt to change and keep up to date.

oh and yeah TradingView already says that but I'm going to say it again I AM JUST SHARING MY IDEAS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICES HERE


Peace out

27 Okt 2023

Trade aktif

I just want to disclose my position, I have the trade still open.
What I see now is a possible double top or break through..

1st case scenario I'll double my position on shorts (this after confirmation)
2nd case scenario I'll start covering the short and accept the loss

30 Okt 2023

Trade aktif

2 Nov 2023

Catatan

Doubled the position, stop loss at 3.70.
Remember that today the NATGAS stockage is being released. so be careful to volatility

19 Nov 2023

Catatan

We are on the area of the $3.00 I'll close half of it and check on how it's going to evolve the situation

28 Nov 2023

Trading ditutup: target tercapai

Well I'll anticipate and close all of my positions right now. Nice Ride