MSTR: Mid-term and Macro Price Structure

5 Apr

As price holds below $344, odds favor a continuation lower to retest February lows, with later potential bounce and one more push to macro-support levels: 160/150-120 (with a potential extension to 105)
(see. recent idea on BTC price structure)

If BTC and broad market indexes show signs of stabilization and short-term strength over the coming weeks with MSTR price rising above 344, the odds are shifting to a more pronounce bounce to 400-460 resistance levels.

Weekly chart:


From a macro perspective:
as long as price remains below the 460 level, I consider the bullish trend since 2008 lows to have topped in November 2024, with current price action unfolding as part of a larger corrective Wave c.4 structure. Otherwise, If price reclaims ATH the door opens for an extension to 780-1280 resistance levels.

Monthly chart


Recent idea on BTC: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/kWQxwuLL-BTC-Mid-Term-Outlook-Key-Levels-Wave-Structure/

21 Apr

Catatan

Price in the mid-term resistance. If price holds bellow 346, I'm expecting a new leg down bellow March/April lows to start unfolding in coming weeks

23 Apr

Catatan

Adjusted mid-term resistance zone: 350-380 with possible extension to 405.