Clearly, moving averages show that MPC is headed towards increased gains. However, it is having a difficult time convincingly breaking through downward short-term resistance. Moreover, oscillators at the monthly chart suggest a sell as do oscillators for the daily chart, primarily RSI and momentum. However, if you look at the comparison between other ways to invest in oil such as Brent crude, WTI, or one of the most liquid oil ETFs, MPC clearly is under-performing recently. MPC just barely beat out the S&P 500's energy sector while more of the liquid petroleum assets all greatly outperformed. The dividend yield per share is only 1.8 percent while the stock price is 11 times earnings. Overall, I am not confident in this stock's strength compared to its peers or its technicals. However, this does not mean the price won't go up, it just won't go up as high as other alternatives if the price of oil continues to climb. Because of this, if you are bearish on oil then you should get into the sector, but MPC is probably not the best way to do that.
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