Key Stats: P/E Ratio: 18.5 (better than most used cars' depreciation rates) Free Cash Flow (FCF): 1.4B Revenue Growth: +3.2% YoY (despite a tough macro environment) Next Earnings Date: December 19, 2024 Market Cap: 13.01B
Top 3 Technical Reasons: 1️⃣ Ascending Triangle Formation: Price action is coiling around resistance, setting up for a textbook breakout. 2️⃣ MACD Crossover: MACD recently flipped bullish, signalling momentum is shifting to the upside. 3️⃣ Volume Surge: Increased volume on up-days indicates institutional accumulation—smart money loves this trade.
Top 3 Fundamental Reasons: 1️⃣ Easing Interest Rates: Fed's pause on rate hikes bodes well for auto loans, a key driver of CarMax's business model. 2️⃣ Strong Inventory Management: Focused on balancing used car inventories while maintaining robust margins (~10.3% gross margin last quarter). 3️⃣ Consumer Demand Resilience: Used car prices stabilizing, boosting consumer confidence and supporting CarMax's unit sales.
Potential Paths to Profit: Option 1 (Lowest Risk): Buy and hold shares. Simple and effective. Option 2 (Options Play): Buy Jan 2025 $100 calls (currently ~$3.50) to leverage the upside with lower capital. Option 3 (Spread Strategy): Enter a Jan 2025 bull call spread by buying the $95 call and selling the $105 call—maximize your gains while reducing premium costs.
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