JSE Top 40

27 Jun 2022

In my 07 March report I highlighted the technical risk with the index having traded at the upper boundary (2.5 to 3x the mean) of it’s 200-month linear regression channel. We have since seen the index retrace toward it’s mean with the price lower by 16.6% from the March peak. The 7-month RSI prints 38 which is considered weak but not yet oversold. While we may see rebounds on a short term basis, the regime remains ‘weak’. Considering the quarterly time frame, it remains in a strong but near overbought regime.