THE WEEK AHEAD: ORCL, CCL, KMX EARNINGS; XLE, IWM, IYR
EARNINGS:
I'm not really seeing anything at the moment that meets my criteria for good liquidity, high rank/high implied to play this coming week for earnings-related volatility contraction plays.
While ORCL (53/44/9.8%) announces Tuesday after the market close, 30-day's only at 44 with the July at-the-money short straddle paying 9.8% of the stock price, which doesn't exactly get my motor running for a volatility contraction play.
CCL (47/142/31.6%) announces Thursday. It has the right volatility metrics and the July short straddle is paying a whopping 31.6% of the stock price, but most are playing this for a recovery from a coronavirus beat-down. For what it's worth, the July 15th 17 short put (19 delta; bullish assumption) is paying 1.17 at the mid price with a cost basis of 15.83 if assigned.
KMX (60/71/15.11%) announces on Friday morning, but isn't the most liquid thing in the world, with the July 17th 75/105 showing bid 3.60/mid 3.80/ask 4.00.
SECTOR EXCHANGE-TRADED FUNDS SCREENED FOR >35% 30-DAY:
XLE (55/61)
XLU (53/38)
SLV (51/38)
EWW (49/46)
GDXJ (49/63)
EWZ (45/61)
SMH (45/46)
GDX (45/41)
XOP (41/79)
USO (18/68)
Notes: I don't have any XLE on currently. The August 21st 32/48 (17 delta) is paying 1.76.
BROAD MARKET:
IWM (66/50)
EFA (42/36)
QQQ (41/34)
SPY (39/35)
Notes: If you're going to sell premium in broad market, small caps is probably the place to do it. Unfortunately, we're kind of mid-cycle here with July only having 34 days left in it and the August, 69, but if you're willing to go a bit longer with duration: IWM August 21st 113/159 (17 delta), paying 4.81.
DIVVY YIELDING EXCHANGE-TRADED FUNDS FOR THE IRA:
IYR (65/47)
EWA (57/44)
XLU (53/38)
EWZ (45/61)
HYG (45/26)
EFA (42/36)
SPY (39/35)
TLT (23/20)
EMB (23/18)
Notes: Pictured here is an IYR (3.51% yield) September 18th 65 short put paying 2.02 at the mid. I've been generally laddering out as an acquisitional play for the IRA, but July has only 34 days left, and there is currently no August (although there will probably be one post June opex), so a single September put would have to do.
I'm not really seeing anything at the moment that meets my criteria for good liquidity, high rank/high implied to play this coming week for earnings-related volatility contraction plays.
While ORCL (53/44/9.8%) announces Tuesday after the market close, 30-day's only at 44 with the July at-the-money short straddle paying 9.8% of the stock price, which doesn't exactly get my motor running for a volatility contraction play.
CCL (47/142/31.6%) announces Thursday. It has the right volatility metrics and the July short straddle is paying a whopping 31.6% of the stock price, but most are playing this for a recovery from a coronavirus beat-down. For what it's worth, the July 15th 17 short put (19 delta; bullish assumption) is paying 1.17 at the mid price with a cost basis of 15.83 if assigned.
KMX (60/71/15.11%) announces on Friday morning, but isn't the most liquid thing in the world, with the July 17th 75/105 showing bid 3.60/mid 3.80/ask 4.00.
SECTOR EXCHANGE-TRADED FUNDS SCREENED FOR >35% 30-DAY:
XLE (55/61)
XLU (53/38)
SLV (51/38)
EWW (49/46)
GDXJ (49/63)
EWZ (45/61)
SMH (45/46)
GDX (45/41)
XOP (41/79)
USO (18/68)
Notes: I don't have any XLE on currently. The August 21st 32/48 (17 delta) is paying 1.76.
BROAD MARKET:
IWM (66/50)
EFA (42/36)
QQQ (41/34)
SPY (39/35)
Notes: If you're going to sell premium in broad market, small caps is probably the place to do it. Unfortunately, we're kind of mid-cycle here with July only having 34 days left in it and the August, 69, but if you're willing to go a bit longer with duration: IWM August 21st 113/159 (17 delta), paying 4.81.
DIVVY YIELDING EXCHANGE-TRADED FUNDS FOR THE IRA:
IYR (65/47)
EWA (57/44)
XLU (53/38)
EWZ (45/61)
HYG (45/26)
EFA (42/36)
SPY (39/35)
TLT (23/20)
EMB (23/18)
Notes: Pictured here is an IYR (3.51% yield) September 18th 65 short put paying 2.02 at the mid. I've been generally laddering out as an acquisitional play for the IRA, but July has only 34 days left, and there is currently no August (although there will probably be one post June opex), so a single September put would have to do.