HYPER / TetherUS
Pembelian

HYPER/USDT — Descending Triangle: Breakout or Breakdown?

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🔎 Overview

HYPER/USDT is currently trading inside a crucial consolidation zone (0.23–0.29 USDT) while being compressed by a descending trendline.
This setup forms a descending triangle pattern, typically a bearish continuation, but in some cases (especially after a strong rally), it can act as an accumulation phase before another bullish leg.

The market is now at a decision point — waiting for either a confirmed breakout to the upside or a breakdown below support.

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📌 Pattern & Market Structure

Previous Trend: Strong pump in early July → followed by consolidation with selling pressure.

Main Pattern: Descending Triangle = flat horizontal support + descending trendline of lower highs.

Support Zone: 0.23 – 0.29 (highlighted yellow box on the chart).

Key Resistance Levels (if breakout occurs):

0.3449 → initial target

0.3875 → mid resistance

0.4329 → major resistance

0.5791 → extended target if momentum continues


Historical High/Low: High 0.7053 / Low 0.0863.

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🚀 Bullish Scenario

1. Confirmation: A strong daily close above the descending trendline, ideally above 0.31.


2. Retest: Breakout gains strength if price retests the trendline and holds as new support.


3. Upside Targets:

TP1: 0.3449

TP2: 0.3875

TP3: 0.4329

TP4: 0.5791 (if rally extends)


4. Invalidation: A daily close below 0.23 invalidates the bullish setup.

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🐻 Bearish Scenario

1. Confirmation: A daily close below 0.23 with strong volume confirms breakdown.


2. Downside Targets:

0.16 – 0.135 zone → historical support area

0.0863 → previous cycle low, major bearish target


3. Invalidation: If price reclaims and sustains above 0.34, the bearish outlook fails.

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⚖️ Conclusion & Outlook

Neutral Zone: As long as price stays between 0.23 – 0.30, the market remains sideways without clear direction.

Bullish Outlook: Needs confirmation with daily close above trendline.

Bearish Outlook: Breakdown below 0.23 would shift momentum clearly bearish.

Best Strategy: Wait for confirmation on daily close & volume before entering, since descending triangles are prone to false breakouts.

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📝 Notes for Traders

Apply strict risk management (1–2% risk per trade).

Take partial profits at each resistance level.

Focus on daily closes and volume spikes for confirmation, not intraday wicks.

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