Party Over? Time to get back to senses!

18 Jul

- HOOD valuation is way stretched and it should correct to a reasonable valuation.
- This needs correction. Let's see how it folds out in next 6-12 months

18 Jul

Catatan

Target Point 1: $90
Target Point 2: $75
Target Point 3: $61.75
Target Point 4: $49
Target Point 5: $31

18 Jul

Catatan

I am not counting on target point 4 & 5 given how cultish this stock is. But target point 1 & 2 seems reasonable if the earnings disappoint and target point 3 if recession fear strikes or trump tariff fiasco unfolds further

29 Jul

Catatan

I have analyze basket of stocks of investors who invested in HOOD also invest in PLTR, SOFI, RKLB, OKLO , HIMS

- These investors have made HOOD valuation very insane and have squeezed all future gains by front loading it to present and made HOOD almost un-investible.

- Un investible implies when market participants front load gains in a stock few year in advanced in anticipation of growth in some years to come. This leads to parabola and strong momentum and then eventually side ways action for years when fundamental actually catches up.

29 Jul

Catatan

- HOOD investors are booking profits and appears to be rolling it into SOFI is my observation lately

31 Jul

Catatan

- Good earnings but all good news are priced in. Valuation is too high

3 Agu

Catatan

re-iterating point targets:

Target Point 1: $90
Target Point 2: $75
Target Point 3: $61.75
Target Point 4: $49
Target Point 5: $31

16 Agu

Trading ditutup: target tercapai

closed short at $92