GBP/USD Pullback in Sight Before Reaching 1.28?

18 Nov 2023

The GBP/USD pair is currently slightly above the 1.2400 level, navigating the upper part of the recent consolidation range. Initially, the British Pound gained 2.25% against the US Dollar midweek but later trimmed its increase to a more modest 1.65%. Despite general market optimism due to speculation about the Federal Reserve possibly pausing interest rate hikes, the GBP/USD remains trapped in a mid-range position, influenced by disappointing economic data from the UK. In October, retail sales in the UK decreased by 0.3% on a monthly basis, sharply contrasting with the expected increase of 0.3%. September's data was revised downward, changing from -0.9% to a significant -1.1%. Retail sales in the UK on an annual basis recorded an even steeper decline, with a decrease of -2.7% compared to the previous -1%, surpassing the forecast of -1.5%. The next focus for investors will be on the release of the Federal Reserve meeting minutes next week. From a technical perspective, the GBP/USD has recorded a 1.75% increase during the week, holding onto midweek gains. The key level to watch is the midweek peak at 1.2510, representing a significant challenge for the bulls. Additionally, next week, the price may face strong resistance at 1.2544, which could trigger a slight retracement before continuing upward towards 1.26-1.28. Share your opinions in the comments and give it a like. Have a great weekend and happy trading to everyone from Nicola, CEO of Forex48 Trading Academy.