The GBPUSD pair has been in a bearish trend for the past few weeks, and it is currently trading near the top of its range. The current spot rate is 1.2156, and a sell entry point of 1.2156 is just below the recent high of 1.2176.
There are a few reasons why GBPUSD could continue to fall in the near term. First, the British pound is generally seen as a riskier currency than the US dollar, and it has been weakening against the USD as concerns about the global economy have grown. Second, the Bank of England (BoE) is expected to raise interest rates more slowly than the Federal Reserve, which could put downward pressure on the GBP against the USD. Finally, the UK economy is expected to grow more slowly than the US economy in the near term. This is due to a number of factors, including the ongoing trade tensions with the EU and the war in Ukraine.
Technical analysis:
From a technical perspective, the GBPUSD pair is trading below its 200-day moving average, which is a bearish signal. The pair is also forming a bearish descending triangle pattern, which is a continuation pattern that typically leads to a breakout to the downside.
Fundamental analysis:
The UK economy is expected to grow more slowly than the US economy in the near term. This is due to a number of factors, including the ongoing trade tensions with the EU and the war in Ukraine. However, the BoE is expected to raise interest rates more slowly than the Fed, which could put downward pressure on the GBP against the USD.
Risks:
There are a few risks to consider before entering a trade on GBPUSD. First, the global economy is facing some headwinds, such as the war in Ukraine. These headwinds could weigh on risk appetite and lead to a rise in the GBPUSD pair. Second, the Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates more quickly than the BoE, which could put upward pressure on the USD against the GBP. Finally, the US economy is expected to grow more quickly than the UK economy in the near term. This could lead to a weaker GBP and a stronger USD.
Overall:
I think GBPUSD is a good pair to trade for those who are looking for a short-term bearish trend. However, it is important to remember that the forex market is volatile, and there is always the risk of a reversal. You should always do your own research before entering any trades.
Here are some additional factors that you may want to consider before entering a trade on GBPUSD:
The economic outlook for the UK and the US. The level of volatility in the forex market. The price of commodities, such as oil and other manufactured goods.
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