Continuation of downward movement

17 Feb 2016

GBPCHF is still in a downward channel long term and revisting 1.39 region is highly likely in the coming week(s) give long term pressure on the pound against the dollar and the dollar against the chf.
Price broke lower yesterday (16/02/2016) and after a retest of upper trend line a move lower is very possible.

25 Feb 2016

Trade aktif

Trade is still active. Opened at 1.4150.
Awaiting further downward movement. This can reach sub 1.37.

25 Feb 2016

Trading ditutup: stop tercapai

STP reached at 1.3875 for a total of about 200 pips due to entering additional lots as we went lower.

25 Feb 2016

Trade aktif

New short opened after stop got hit after awaiting close of 1H candle. New entry at 1.3860 with stop at B/E + 5 pips.

27 Feb 2016

Trading ditutup: stop tercapai

Stop triggered. Profit of 5 pips.

27 Feb 2016

Trade aktif

New order triggered at 1.39 with TP at 1.3795. Downward pressure remains.

4 Mar 2016

Catatan

Position is still open but with a big DD of 194 pips. We are still very much in a bearish channel hence the position remaining open. Looking to add to my short at these levels once I see confirmation of continuation of downward movement.
Given that:
- We have reached resistance at 1.4140;
- RSI now at the other side of the spectrum (i.e. overbought);
- RSI showing a hidden bearish divergence on 4H and Daily;

I'm expecting reversal back down next week, with maybe some hesitation at 1.4070.

11 Mar 2016

Trade aktif

Added additional short at 1.4210 level which brought my average entry at 1.40152. Given recent lower highs and lower lows a reversal might start with a new wave down towards 1.36 and lower. Keeping trade open but paying close attention.

15 Mar 2016

Catatan

Trade still open with price at B/E.
Price just broke through the 1.4 level. We should start seeing newer lows and reach 1.39 and later 1.3730.
If that level breaks we could very well reach 1.36 and lower.

24 Mar 2016

Trading ditutup: stop tercapai

Stop reached after putting it to B/E + 20 pips.

24 Mar 2016

Trade aktif

New short triggered at 1.4005 with target at 1.36.

1 Apr 2016

Trading ditutup secara manual

Closed at 1.3680. Price showed some reluctance to go lower and RSI and MACD are oversold on 4H. Might go up a bit to retest breakout. Will look for new short higher.

6 Apr 2016

Catatan

New order got triggered on the 4th at 1.3705 and target reached at 1.3500 today on the 6th. Will probably wait for another retracement before shorting again.

This pair could very well retest low of 1.26 which was reached when Swiss let go of dollar (I believe it was?).