On the monthly, price has yet to reach the D extension. We had a shallow retracement on the monthly fib with a stall out at the 1.18 1.27 extension. We had weekly and daily rejection at 1.82XXX.
Long term picture, I see the potential for a sell down to 1.580XX. Shorter term (4HR), I see two possibilities, price could begin to retrace from current 4HR level 1.759XX or push down to the second Weekly level at 1.749XX and retrace back up to the 38.2 1.776X where we have 4HR resistance. The retracement up could be tradeable.
For this leg of price, I see the potential for a sell to 1.739X with further downside potential to 1.716XX. At 1.7166X I think it will be time to re-evaluate once we see how price reacts at this level.
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