๐ฐ Pair Name : EUR/USD
๐ฐ Time Frame : 1H/4H
๐ฐ Scale Type : MID Scale
๐ฐ Direction : LONG/BUY
๐๐ผ FUNDAMENTAL POINT OF VIEW: ๐๐ต A mixed bag of US jobs data released on Friday ๐๐บ๐ธ points to limited upside in the US dollar ahead of key US inflation data due on Wednesday. ๐๐น The greenback fell sharply, almost erasing all of the week's gains after a not-so-bearish jobs report. Non-farm payrolls increased less than expected ๐๐, but the unemployment rate fell, and average hourly earnings came in higher than expected ๐๐. The demand for jobs is slowing, but the labor market remains tight for now. โณ๐ ๏ธ
The market's response to this mixed data has been similar to recent trends. Below-expected data has had an outsized impact on USD ๐๐, while upbeat data has failed to leave a lasting impression. ๐ค๐ก Despite the US Economic Surprise Index being at its highest since early 2021, the DXY Index (US dollar index) is around its year-to-date lows. ๐๐ฑ
EUR/USD is still within the uptrend change, and the broader bias remains upward due to higher-highs-higher-lows pattern since late 2022. ๐๐ Lately, the pair has been hovering in an upward-sloping channel since March. However, the consolidation could extend a bit further in the near term. โณ๐
๐๐น Technical point of view: ๐๐น EURUSD PRICE HAS REACHED FIB LEVEL 50% ๐๐. We expect the price to retest fib level 23.6% and the consolidation range box below, and then head up again to refill the market imbalance and collect the buying liquidity above. ๐๐๐น