- The market has been registering higher highs and lows since November 2023, leading prices to a new historical high above 5,130pts. The long-term trend is therefore bullish.
- Today, the market has registered a strong failure below 5,132pts, which led prices back to their mid-term bullish trendline around 5,050.0pts. Both EMA are stalling while the RSI has already shown a breakout to come following a long bearish divergence with the market.
- While already trading in uncharted territory, it becomes more and more difficult for investors to keep buying and defend the extremely high stock valuations everywhere. In order to keep pushing stock higher, traders will need positive development from both the corporate front, with solid earning reports, as well as the monetary easing cycle to come.
However, the last batch of macro data from both US and the EU has shown that Economies keep expanding. In addition, central bankers have also reaffirmed their need to see further proof that inflation rates are trending down, before proceeding with any rate cuts.
With that in mind, we believe a correction is now due for the pan-european index. Support levels can be found towards 5000pts, 4863pts, 4695pts and 4560/4570pts by extension.
Pierre Veyret, Technical Analyst at ActivTrades
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