ETH Trading Plan for 20-21 Jan 2022

Diupdate
In this chart of Ethereum I have marked 4 price levels which have been determined based on a proprietary calculation that I have developed. The zone between the top-most and bottom-most price levels is a strict "No Trade Zone".

If Ethereum's price crosses the top-most price level, we will be looking for long opportunities and if Ethereum's price crosses the bottom-most price level, we will be looking for short opportunities.

Entry criteria:

  • Bullish case: Enter as soon as a 5-minute candle CLOSES above the top-most price level.
  • Bearish case: Enter as soon as a 5-minute candle CLOSES below the bottom-most price level.


Stop Loss criteria:

  • Risk: 2% of capital of per trade.
  • Bullish case: Just below the second price level from the top.
  • Bearish case: Just above the second price level from the bottom.


Take profit criteria:


I personally follow a system wherein I do nothing until 1:1 RR is achieved. But post 1:1 RR is achieved, I adjust stop loss to cost. I then exit 1/3rd of entered quantity based on 5 minute candle close below (bullish case) or above (bearish case) 15 EMA. I exit 1/3rd of entered quantity at fixed take-profit level of 1:3 RR. And I exit the final 1/3rd of entered quantity based on a system of setting stop losses that are dynamically adjusted to the nearest retracement after a Day High Breakout (in bullish case) or Day Low Breakout (in bearish case).

I have also experimented with systems wherein you can set take-profit at a fixed level of 1:3 RR or alternatively after 1:1 is achieved book full quantity vased on 5 minute candle close below (bullish case) or above (bearish case) 15 EMA. Both of these alternative systems have also been profitable.


Please note the given zones are valid only until the end of the day. Any open positions must be closed by 05:25 AM IST which is around when the day is about to end in the cryptocurrency markets.

Also please note: according to the rules of my system, I don't take more than 3 trades per day on any asset.
Trading ditutup secara manual
Aided by momentum in Bitcoin, Ethereum gave a fantastic upmove after breaking out of the zone created by the top two price levels. There was singificant momentum and within a few minutes it seemed like the move was probably overextended. So insteady of letting 1/3rd of my quantity run until 1:3, I booked the same around the 1:2.5 RR level itself.

The remaining 2/3rd quantity were booked on my approach of setting dynamic stop losses and trailing stop losses with the help of 15 EMA which I described in detail earlier.
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