Using linear regression at 400 bars on the daily, I plotted how long before the previous crash we stayed above the 1 standard deviation.
By my estimation, the durations seem about 2x as long this time around, which would mean we have a 20-day period below the line, and then a 36-day period above the line again before things start to really get ugly.
Based on this, my new date for devastation scenario beginning is 3-25-21, similar to previous estimates.
This would also mean the fall could be 2x as detrimental as we are all planning for…meaning 340, or 320, might not be the bottom.
=FIB
By my estimation, the durations seem about 2x as long this time around, which would mean we have a 20-day period below the line, and then a 36-day period above the line again before things start to really get ugly.
Based on this, my new date for devastation scenario beginning is 3-25-21, similar to previous estimates.
This would also mean the fall could be 2x as detrimental as we are all planning for…meaning 340, or 320, might not be the bottom.
=FIB
Catatan
right on schedule indeed
The prediction is in...
= FIB
= FIB
Pernyataan Penyangkalan
Informasi dan publikasi tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan bukan merupakan saran keuangan, investasi, perdagangan, atau rekomendasi lainnya yang diberikan atau didukung oleh TradingView. Baca selengkapnya di Persyaratan Penggunaan.
The prediction is in...
= FIB
= FIB
Pernyataan Penyangkalan
Informasi dan publikasi tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan bukan merupakan saran keuangan, investasi, perdagangan, atau rekomendasi lainnya yang diberikan atau didukung oleh TradingView. Baca selengkapnya di Persyaratan Penggunaan.