New additional ES/SP500 Analysis

Alternative and more likely scenario to previous ES/SPY bottoming ideas: #1 ES/SPY has been traveling in downward channel. Seems as if it has made 3 - 4 top of channel/bottom of channel trips and potentially may be missing completion of this last rotation down, which ignites the move up or may exit the channel with sideways move which would provide idea number #2 ES/SPY will continue to test the 200 MA breaking above and below it. (Potentially one of the candles may make a big move down and bough up providing a big flush/shake out and subsequent large wick. Possibly not required). Eventually forming a multiple daily candle bottom. Likely 2-3 more candles before starting its ascent higher. Personally I'm already long with small (red!) positions with ES micro mini, SPY and NVIDIA calls. More pain and waiting likely ahead and ready to make small additions waiting for the strong move up. Risk management required. As with every chart analysis viewing all possibilities - I could see potential additional 100 - 130 point drop