Neutral to Short-Term Bearish: Current indicators suggest a cautious approach, with a lean towards a short-term bearish outlook amid mixed global signals.
🔄 Recap
In today’s issue, we delve into the performance of S&P 500 Futures, analyzing the recent consolidation phase after a notable rally. We examine the tight trading range that has defined the market over the past week, emphasizing caution in these choppy conditions.
📈 The Markets Overnight
🌏 Asia: Mostly down 🌍 Europe: Up 🌎 US Index Futures: Up 🛢 Crude Oil: Up 💵 Dollar: Up slightly 🧐 Yields: Down 🔮 Crypto: Up
🌏 Major Global Catalysts
Hawkish Fed Governor Waller turns dovish saying rates are in the right place.
European CPI inflation reports coming in lower than expected.
🔍 Key Structures
We've identified crucial structures ranging from 4620-25 as a broad upside target, down to 4418, a pivotal bull market trendline. The ES is currently consolidating under 4580, indicating a potential move on the horizon.
📉 Support Levels
4536: A prominent horizontal zone, critical for maintaining the current bullish structure.
4508: A support level that played a significant role in sustaining the rally after the November CPI release.
4485: A pivotal support-turned-resistance that could be retested.
4445-37: Key support zones that could act as a staging ground for future rallies.
📈 Resistance Levels
4620-25: A major trendline target, marking the intersection of historical highs.
4580: A strong resistance level that has been tested and held thus far.
4565: An immediate resistance that could dictate short-term price action.
📝 Trading Plan
For Wednesday’s session, we focus on key support and resistance levels. The plan includes monitoring for base building above 4555 for a possible move to 4580+ while also considering short positions on breakdowns below key support levels.
💡 Wrap Up
The market remains in a tight balance, with a persistent bullish undertone. It’s crucial to navigate this choppy phase with a disciplined trading plan, recognizing the potential for both upward continuation and downward reversal. Stay tuned for updates on major catalysts that may impact the market dynamics.
Disclosure: This is not financial advice and is for informational purposes only. Please consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decision.
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