This idea/trade is pretty simple and it comes up few and far between. It is strictly based on price and nothing else. Human nature never changes and it's interesting that the two times this has happened in the past were also during "panics". These trades typically last a few months so just keep that in mind. The details are below.
All the best,
Andre
CHART INTERVAL 2W (2 Weeks)
THE SIGNAL When the close is more than -3 standard deviations below the 20 period linear regression on this time frame, it indicates an amazing long opportunity. The exit is a 2W close above a 10 period simple moving average.
THE RESULTS This has only ever happened twice:
First Time
Entry: November 11 1929 @ the open (220.39)
Draw down: -11.36%
Run up: +24.78%
Exit: February 2 1930 @ the open (270.54 +22.76%)
Second Time
Entry: October 26 1987 @ the open (1839)
Draw down: -5.72%
Run up: +13.00%
Exit: February 29 1988 @ the open (2032.20 +10.51%)
THE RISK As you can see from the trade draw downs the maximum is -11.36%, of course it is absolutely possible to exceed that. **Important: Remember that leverage increases the draw down number... i.e -11.36% with 3x leverage is -34.08%***
Catatan
This trade has officially closed as of Monday this week at the open.
Informasi dan publikasi tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan bukan merupakan saran keuangan, investasi, perdagangan, atau rekomendasi lainnya yang diberikan atau didukung oleh TradingView. Baca selengkapnya di Persyaratan Penggunaan.
Informasi dan publikasi tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan bukan merupakan saran keuangan, investasi, perdagangan, atau rekomendasi lainnya yang diberikan atau didukung oleh TradingView. Baca selengkapnya di Persyaratan Penggunaan.