24-12-13 DAX 20405 EUR - Crash worlwide ahead!

14 Des

Maybe DAX will reach 21000 in the next 2 months, even SPX could rise up to 6400 USD, but one is for sure. Such a great disbalance in 40 years is incredible. Rising US Treasury yields up from o% to 4.5% and CPI by 2.7% with riskless 1,7% is wonderfull, but normaly not for the stock market. Every time, Fed rose the yields more than 2% within 12 months, stock market struggled.

But here a now, yields up from 0% to 4.5% within a year… and what does the stock market ?

15 Des

Trade aktif

40 years successfull growth in economy. Driven by cheaper money, spending money over the real growth of GDP and also by increasing national and private debt. Now in the USA are not in the position to reserve it. Like a junky they need more and more fresh money. And there is a lot of, if I look and the percentage of national debt / GDP. There is space to increase this ratio up to 150%.
Only problem is, not to fall in a sudden hyperinflation or forein holders of T bonds say goodbye, especially China.
Remarkable: M2 made last year another jump and stock market took it.
For further big steps in stock market, fresh money required. So Fed wil cute the rates very soon and fast.
Also because china with big concerns not to fall in a Disinflation/Deflation.