$CRML - Critical Metals - $16.08 Breakout | $26.19 Retest

CRML has been one of the most explosive rare-earth plays of 2025 — rallying from the single digits to a 52-week high of $34.39 before pulling back sharply to consolidate around the $13.64 support zone.

After cooling off from that massive run, price action has now begun compressing between $13.64 and $16.08, with early signs of base-building before another potential leg up.

🧩 Technical Outlook

Strong rally → deep correction → accumulation structure forming.

Support Levels: $13.64 (core zone), $10.01 (strong confluence), and $7.98 (long-term floor).

Resistance Zones: $19.25 → $22.07 → $26.19.

Channel projection shows potential for re-test of $26.19 by November if current momentum continues.

Higher timeframe targets extend to $30.09 and $34.39 in Q1 2026 if the bullish structure holds.

The setup favors accumulation entries below $16.08, with a short-term target to retest $22.07 and potentially $26.19 once momentum returns.

📰 Recent News & Fundamentals

Critical Metals shares have been volatile following major financing announcements:

📉 Announced offering of 18.03 million shares triggered a short-term selloff.

💰 Confirmed $50 million PIPE financing, strengthening capital for expansion.

🌍 Broader rare-earth momentum continues as China tightens export restrictions and JPMorgan initiates new investments into critical mineral supply chains.

Despite the correction, the sector tailwinds remain strong — and CRML’s European lithium and rare-earth projects (Tanbreez and Wolfsberg) position it strategically for the energy transition theme dominating the next decade.

📊 Sentiment Snapshot (from Schwab QORE Analytics)

Rating: F (Strongly Underperform) – percentile rank 100

26-week price change: +834%

Beta: 1.14

Sector: Materials / Diversified Metals & Mining

High volatility + weak sentiment ratings often precede large technical reversals — a setup that speculative traders should be watching closely.

💡 My Plan

I’m watching for clean accumulation below $16.08 for a potential re-entry swing trade.

Stop: under $13.50
Targets: $22.07 → $26.19 (swing)

Longer-term projections: $30 → $34 if the bullish trend resumes into 2026.