Coinbase Update

17 Okt

I haven't been posting the micros lately because it is so easy to get lost in the weeds. I know I have some of you that prefer to break these counts down to learn though so I thought I would add the micro chart on this post.

This is the 15min chart, and as you can see, price appears to be moving in a 3-wave pattern. Starting on 06 Sept price chopped higher in a double zigzag pattern for the sub-minuette a. This was followed by a 3-wave move lower that I have labeled as the b wave. Since then, we have risen with strength which represents the c wave of this pattern higher. This sub-minuette abc pattern makes up what I am now calling the minor B wave. Our target for the termination of this pattern is the 0.618-0.786 @ $214.77-$238.48.

Looking at MACD, you can see we're creating a new local high on negative divergence. This signifies that the pattern is running out of steam. I think it a high possibility that price continues raising to the target box and begins to chop creating a couple new local highs all while carving out greater neg div. This will set the pattern up to move lower again. One thing to remember with corrective patterns is they can continue creating more and more sub-divisions. Just when you think it should be the last sub-division another one comes along.

This change in the structure doesn't invalidate the overall pattern. All it means is that price is taking a different road to our final target. That target area remains $143-$126 and I see no reason to think price won't end up consolidating in that area.