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Part 7 Trading Master Class

11
1. Option Pricing Models

One of the most complex yet fascinating aspects of option trading is how option premiums are determined. Unlike stocks, whose value is based on company fundamentals, or commodities, whose prices are driven by supply-demand, an option’s price depends on several variables.

The two key components of an option’s price are:

Intrinsic Value (real economic worth if exercised today).

Time Value (the added premium based on time left and expected volatility).

Factors Affecting Option Prices

Underlying Price: The closer the stock/index moves in favor of the option, the higher the premium.

Strike Price: Options closer to current market price (ATM) carry more time value.

Time to Expiry: Longer-dated options are more expensive since they allow more time for the move to happen.

Volatility: Higher volatility means higher premiums, as chances of significant movement increase.

Interest Rates & Dividends: These play smaller roles but matter for advanced valuation.

Option Pricing Models

The most famous is the Black-Scholes Model (BSM), developed in 1973, which provides a theoretical value of options using inputs like underlying price, strike, time, interest rate, and volatility. While not perfect, it revolutionized modern finance.

Another important concept is the Greeks—risk measures that tell traders how sensitive option prices are to different factors:

Delta: Measures how much the option price changes with a ₹1 change in the underlying.

Gamma: Measures the rate of change of Delta, indicating risk of large moves.

Theta: Time decay, showing how much premium erodes daily as expiry nears.

Vega: Sensitivity to volatility changes.

Rho: Impact of interest rate changes.

Professional traders use these Greeks to balance portfolios and create hedged positions. For example, a trader selling options must watch Theta (benefits from time decay) but also Vega (losses if volatility spikes).

In short, option pricing is a multi-dimensional game, not just about guessing direction. Understanding these models helps traders evaluate whether an option is overpriced or underpriced, and to design strategies accordingly.

2. Strategies for Beginners

New traders often get attracted to cheap OTM options for quick profits, but this approach usually leads to consistent losses due to time decay. Beginners are better off starting with simple, defined-risk strategies.

Basic Option Strategies:

Covered Call: Holding a stock and selling a call option on it. Generates steady income while holding the stock. Ideal for investors.

Protective Put: Buying a put option while holding a stock. Works like insurance against price falls.

Bull Call Spread: Buying one call and selling another at a higher strike. Limits both profit and loss but reduces cost.

Bear Put Spread: Buying a put and selling a lower strike put. A safer way to bet on downside.

Long Straddle: Buying both a call and put at the same strike. Profits from big moves in either direction.

Long Strangle: Similar to straddle but using different strikes (cheaper).

For beginners, spreads are particularly useful because they balance risk and reward, and also reduce the impact of time decay. For example, instead of just buying a call, a bull call spread ensures you don’t lose the entire premium if the move is slower than expected.

The goal for a beginner is not to chase high returns immediately, but to learn how different market factors impact option prices. Small, risk-controlled strategies give that experience without blowing up accounts.

3. Advanced Strategies & Hedging

Once traders understand basics, they can move on to multi-leg strategies that cater to more complex views on volatility and market direction.

Popular Advanced Strategies

Iron Condor: Combining bull put spread and bear call spread. Profits when market stays within a range. Excellent for low-volatility conditions.

Butterfly Spread: Using three strikes (buy 1, sell 2, buy 1). Profits when the market closes near the middle strike.

Calendar Spread: Selling near-term option and buying long-term option at same strike. Benefits from time decay differences.

Ratio Spreads: Selling more options than you buy, often to take advantage of skewed volatility.

Straddles and Strangles (Short): Selling both call and put to profit from low volatility, though risky without hedges.

Hedging with Options

Institutions and even individual investors use options as risk management tools. For instance, a fund manager holding ₹100 crore worth of stocks can buy index puts to protect against market crashes. Similarly, exporters use currency options to hedge against forex fluctuations.

Advanced option trading is less about speculation and more about risk-neutral positioning—making money regardless of direction, as long as volatility and timing behave as expected. This is where understanding Greeks and volatility becomes critical.

4. Risks in Option Trading

Options provide opportunities, but they are not risk-free. In fact, most beginners lose money because they underestimate risks.

Key Risks Include:

Leverage Risk: Options allow big exposure with small capital, but this magnifies losses if the view is wrong.

Time Decay (Theta): Options lose value daily. Even if you’re directionally correct, being late can mean losses.

Volatility Risk (Vega): Sudden spikes/drops in volatility can make or break option trades.

Liquidity Risk: Illiquid options have wide bid-ask spreads, making it hard to enter or exit efficiently.

Unlimited Loss for Sellers: Option writers can lose unlimited amounts, especially in naked positions.

Overtrading: The fast-moving nature of weekly options tempts traders to overtrade, often leading to poor discipline.

Professional traders always assess risk-reward ratios before taking trades. They know that preserving capital is more important than chasing quick profits. Beginners must internalize this lesson early to survive long-term.

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