Bitcoin on the downside channel - next station 8800

Hello my friends
In my opinion, this is the short-term analysis of Bitcoin
Bitcoin continues to move down the channel.
In the first step, the bottom of the canal will reach 8800, and there are two scenarios
Scenario 1: Channel failure and movement up to ma200 in the daily time frame of 8300
Scenario 2: Return to the top of the descending channel and reach a price of about 8500

Please trade and sell according to your opinion and discretion