My last update on this was overconfident in the downward trendline. I fess up to this shortsightedness. I did end up stopping out. However! What did I learn? This is most important. There is a 1:1 extension on the chart (as seen here) this is now a tricky setup. I have re-entered a short on the 41.5k range, looking to exit half the position when we retest the downward trendline. If we bounce off that, or we extend to 45k, I will start to consider a bullish thesis (but only short term).
I won't be bull until we break over 200 day MA. That's the deal.
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