BTC Distribution Scenario
Diupdate
I'm considering a new scenario following the breakdown of price below supportive structure. It's a scenario pattern that's undoubtedly familiar - everyone's favorite, the Wyckoff distribution trend.
Several elements support this structure are worth noting:
- The distribution phase is occurring just above the previous all-time high (ATH).
- This potential top is showing a monthly bearish divergence vs 2021 ATH.
While the structure of these patterns never perfectly aligns with Wyckoff's illustrations, they often follow key stages marked by significant swings in price. This scenario presents swings of around 25%
The scenario assumes that we've entered Phase B, moving towards the Sign of Weakness (SOW) below initial support (target price would be
59K range mid-April) before a move to the Upthrust (UT).
Best, Hard Forky
Several elements support this structure are worth noting:
- The distribution phase is occurring just above the previous all-time high (ATH).
- This potential top is showing a monthly bearish divergence vs 2021 ATH.
While the structure of these patterns never perfectly aligns with Wyckoff's illustrations, they often follow key stages marked by significant swings in price. This scenario presents swings of around 25%
The scenario assumes that we've entered Phase B, moving towards the Sign of Weakness (SOW) below initial support (target price would be
59K range mid-April) before a move to the Upthrust (UT).Best, Hard Forky
Catatan
Monthly - just a point of interest Catatan
bearflag forming Catatan
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re-entry into the flag channel Catatan
expecting move down Catatan
the channel held, likely pivot from distribution structure Catatan
support touch Catatan
SOW hit Catatan
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pullback Catatan
stage target hit Catatan
1st target SWB:69K Catatan
Updated Timelines : Catatan
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Final leg up in Phase B - Catatan
Upward Thrust - 
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