Hi friends! This educational idea about the dollar index and entire crypto market will be really usefull for the beginners and the experienced traders also.
I`ll explain you several fundamental and technical reasons why and when BTC ans other crpyto will start rise. You can also use it in your trading to identify the global trend and open more succesfull trades.
As far as you may know,✅the stronger the dollar index (DXY) the weaker all global assets and vice versa. This means that when the index rises, most stocks, cryptocurrencies fall. When the index falls the most assets grow very fast, especially such volatile ones as 🔥crypto: Bitcoin, altcoins and 🔥shares of technology companies: Tesla, Meta, Apple, etc.
But when actually BTC and other crypto will start it's rise and you can open your best long trades❓ I explain you this in the both chapters about fundamental and technical analysis.
✅ Fundamental analysis Now the dollar index is strengthening amid the Fed rate hike. This means that we have to wait until the trend reverses and the dollar index starts to fall. After that BTC and altcoins might start it`s new BULL MARKET.
📊 When the dollar index (DXY) starts to fall? The dollar has strengthened significantly against other currencies in the world (pound, euro etc.). This is caused by the latest rate hike to 3.25% and expectations for an increase to 4.4-4.75% by the end of 2022.
The stats for traders who want to understand how the growth of dollar index (DXY) affects other assets and currencies: 🚩The Euro is at 20 year lows. 🚩The Yen is at 24 year lows. 🚩The Pound is at 37 year lows.
📊 Do not be surprised that Bitcoin fell so much🔥, because according to the latest data, even the institutionals (big players) also scared and opened the biggest hedge positions since 2008.
🚩 It can be assumed that from the end of 2022 or early 2023 we can see a global reversal of ALL markets, including crypto depends on FEDs rate hicking end.
✅ Technical analysis
📊 14 year channel on DXY Pay attention to point #4 on the dollar index chart. This is where the global uptrend for DXY and global downtrend for BTC began. The strongest dependence!
📊 When to open a long trade on Bitcoin❓ The end of the rate hike by the end of 2022 coincides with the technical analysis on the dollar index chart. The index is now at point #5, which is the upper boundary of the channel and the srongest resistance for the dollar index.
It is worth adding that this is not just a channel on the 5 min chart, which globally has no significance. This is a huge 14 year channel (‼️) on the weekly chart, which the price will test for the 5th time! This is a powerful signal for a reversal and resistance for the price.
🚩 The higher the timeframe, the more traders see it and, accordingly, the greater the price reaction on it. Montly>Weekly>Daily>4h>1h>...
🔥We can expect the index to fall from point #5 or at least partially consolidate at these levels before falling, as it was back in 2017 (or point #3). This can pull the price assest including BTC and altcoin to the new ATH.
📊 BTC global bottoms. In addition, the reversal of the dollar index coincides with the formation of Bitcoin's global bottom. Bitcoin began 3/4 of its bull markets with consolidation at the bottom, which is happening now.
🚩 Of course, local manipulations with the collection of liquidity below $17,000 are very likely, but even now you can start to look for a good entry point in the trend reversal. For example, it may be the pattern of higher lows and higher highs, which is characteristic of a bullish trend.
✅ I use much more advanced trading systems to identify the best entry points and open trades either short or long, about which I write my ideas on TradingView, but this pattern will definitely help both beginner and experienced trader to earn more.
Traders, will you use this analysis in your trading❓ When exactly do you expect the global bottom on Bitcoin❓ Let's discuss it in the comments.
💻Friends, press the "boost"🚀 button, write comments and share with your friends - it will be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. Personally, I open an entry if the price shows it according to my strategy. Always do your analysis before making a trade.
Informasi dan publikasi tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan bukan merupakan saran keuangan, investasi, perdagangan, atau rekomendasi lainnya yang diberikan atau didukung oleh TradingView. Baca selengkapnya di Persyaratan Penggunaan.