Range trading: Cryptocurrencies as for 18/01/2022

18 Jan 2022

Calculations of the fluctuations range for the present day are published in this section. That is, at the very beginning of the day, you can determine the maximum and minimum of this day (with a known probability).
What does this information give? In fact, a lot. But first of all, these are guidelines for trade. For example, if during the day the price approaches the upper (lower) mark, you know that it won’t go above (below) this mark with a particular probability today. Accordingly, you can open a position opposite to the current movement, knowing in advance what the probability is to be profitable.
BTCUSD


Long position 1
(The price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 68%) 40648
Long position 2
(The price today will not fall below this mark with a probability 95%) 39856
Long position 3
(The price today will not fall below this mark with a probability 99%) 39063

Short position 1
(The price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 68%) 43680
Short position 2
(The price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 95%) 44472
Short position 3
(The price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 99%) 45265


ETHUSD


Long position 1
(The price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 68%) 3058.19
Long position 2
(The price today will not fall below this mark with a probability 95%) 2976.96
Long position 3
(The price today will not fall below this mark with a probability 99%) 2895.72

Short position 1
(The price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 68%) 3352.35
Short position 2
(The price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 95%) 3433.58
Short position 3
(The price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 99%) 3514.82

XRPUSD

Long position 1
(The price today will not fall below this mark with a probability of 68%) 0.7270
Long position 2
(The price today will not fall below this mark with a probability 95%) 0.7035
Long position 3
(The price today will not fall below this mark with a probability 99%) 0.6800

Short position 1
(The price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 68%) 0.7924
Short position 2
(The price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 95%) 0.8160
Short position 3
(The price today will not rise above this mark with a probability of 99%) 0.8395


Calculations are based on the historical data and history doesn’t necessarily repeat this particular day. About mentioned probabilities are not 100% and do not guarantee risk-free trading