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4 years cycle, back to 10K

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At the weekly chart I see this:

Every 4 years a cycle repeats itself.. The retrace after bull market is 84-86%.
The uptrend starts 4 years after the previous one. But the uptrend becomes weaker every cycle:
480X, 112X, 21X. Next = 5X ?

RSI is not bottomed out below 30 yet.
Price can go down one more year. 85% retrace will give us 10K (Strong resistance in April 2018, October 2019, Feb and June 2020 and support September 2020).

What do you guys think?

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