Bitcoin will collapse and here's why

3 Jul 2023

I will just give 5 arguments that have historically turned into large sales and a medium-term bear market:

- There was an uptrend for exactly 6 months, with corrections, but globally it is 6 months of growth by one candle.

- At the moment, the momentum has slowed down and it is difficult for buyers to pass the 30,000 zone on the most bullish news.

- The Fed's rates are almost over, they are writing with might and main that the US economy is strong, strong funds are applying for an ETF-BTC, the meaning of which most traders simply do not know, but for them it is a signal to buy.

- The market capitalization lags far behind the Bitcoin price.

- USDT/USDC are collectively ready for growth, that is, assets will soon be massively converted into money.

I can't say at what price point Bitcoin will turn around and buyers will take the market in a vise. It can be 32500, or maybe 34-36 thousand for Bitcoin.

3 Jul 2023

Catatan

USDT+USDC Dominance


Daily market capitalization chart:


Weekly RSI:

3 Jul 2023

Catatan

Daily MACD Indicator:

3 Jul 2023

Catatan

Altcoin capitalization chart. We see a classic decline with a test of the resistance level in the capitalization of all altcoins. The value has been released under the block, tested and is ready to go below. This graph shows the value of all altcoins in monetary terms. It is much cleaner than the price chart of each altcoin.:



The Bitcoin capitalization chart, cleared of altcoins and stems, which often provide resources. For implementation and reduction, there is not enough. That is, the final impulse that I am waiting for, formalizing and showing all my ideas and my analysis:

3 Jul 2023

Catatan

The scenario is relevant, everything is according to plan, I am waiting for the trend to end soon and change towards sales. Not a bearish trend, but a correction to the entire growth that lasted 6 months.

According to the capitalization schedule, this is the area 1.18 - 1.195.

4 Jul 2023

Catatan

According to the capitalization of BITCOIN, we are almost at the goal



And the only bullish scenario that I admit is the overlap of the gap on the CME chart in the area of 35,000, this is 34,300 on a regular chart. That is, if the week closes above 32,400 on a regular chart, then I leave the probability that we will go to 34,300, but this is the most bullish forecast and the maximum that I allow.



In the case of a bullish scenario, we are still waiting for a return to the 20,000 zone.

4 Jul 2023

Catatan

And how can the markets and Bitcoin grow in such conditions? Do you seriously think that they are being pumped up in order for you to earn millions?

5 Jul 2023

Catatan

My trading plan is for 3-4 months, 3 major deals that I plan to take based on my plan.

/ - Short to an important level

/ - Long on the rebound

/ - Short to monthly support

6 Jul 2023

Trade aktif

As you can see, everything is relevant, we are going to the zone with a set of shorts. I do not enter a trade on a limit order, I will wait for the movement to end, it will probably be higher than 32500.

7 Jul 2023

Catatan

While Bitcoin is in the same range, I am not changing my scenario to a hike in the 32500-33000 zone. Then there is a decline. The bears showed their strength, without any news. I'm waiting for the final growth and then a fall for 3-4 months.

9 Jul 2023

Catatan

Contrary to the expectations of many, the departure of Bitcoin below 29500 is the end of a 7-month uptrend. Now the final stage and the last impulse are underway. Corrections are unacceptable for a number of reasons. Therefore, all my analysis is relevant. I expect the entire cryptocurrency market to fall soon.

11 Jul 2023

Trade aktif

13 Jul 2023

Catatan

Market Cap, everything is going as it should



USDC+USDT, if their chart is up, then the market is down, and vice versa:



Weekly MACD:



Weekly RSI:



Global scenario:



Locally, we are saving up strength to go up, if under 29500, then for a long time down

15 Jul 2023

Catatan

16 Jul 2023

Trade aktif

19 Jul 2023

Catatan

Everything is relevant, as long as we are above 29500, the plan follows exactly what I described above.

20 Jul 2023

Catatan

Global plan



Local plan ($32,500 max price)

24 Jul 2023

Trade aktif

30 Jul 2023

Trade aktif

2 Agu 2023

Catatan

7 Agu 2023

Trade aktif

8 Agu 2023

Catatan

16 Agu 2023

Catatan

We have been testing the trend line for a long time, there are fewer chances to bounce back and go long (black vector). Everything is going according to plan, no changes.

17 Agu 2023

Trade aktif