Bitcoin Cycle #5 Projection
Bitcoin Projection - Cycle #5 (2025)
The following Bitcoin project for the 5th (2025) Bitcoin cycle is based on the following observations and measurements.
Logistic Regression function for historical all-time highs.
This gives a speculative estimate for the maximum possible peak for this (5th) Bitcoin cycle.
Best fit "appears" to be quadratic.
p_max = 3647 + 34.2 * t + 0.0256 * t^2
Logistic Regression function for historical gain above previous all-time lows.
This gives a speculative estimate for the minimum possible peak for this (5th) Bitcoin cycle.
Best fit "appears" to be exponantial.
x = 40476 * e^(-0.00318 * t)
p_min = 15473*x
The following Bitcoin project for the 5th (2025) Bitcoin cycle is based on the following observations and measurements.
- Presumption that the 4-year-cycle hypothesis holds for the remainder of the 5th Bticoin cycle, which should then peek in mid to late 2025.
- Start of cycle peek range, is based on the earliest observed historical peek.
- End of cycle peek range, is based on the latest observed historical peek.
- The grey projection curve is fitted to points computed as the average of the following logistic regressions.
- All historical cycle all-time highs.
- All historical gains above all-time lows.
Logistic Regression function for historical all-time highs.
This gives a speculative estimate for the maximum possible peak for this (5th) Bitcoin cycle.
Best fit "appears" to be quadratic.
p_max = 3647 + 34.2 * t + 0.0256 * t^2
Logistic Regression function for historical gain above previous all-time lows.
This gives a speculative estimate for the minimum possible peak for this (5th) Bitcoin cycle.
Best fit "appears" to be exponantial.
x = 40476 * e^(-0.00318 * t)
p_min = 15473*x
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